Fundamental Recovery Bounds for SPAD Signals under Stationary Flux

arXiv:2601.07599v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Single-photon avalanche diodes (SPADs) record light as a discrete stream of individual detections. The signal is stochastic. Its statistical structure depends on the sensor's operation mode: binary detection in fixed bins, timestamped detection in fixed bins, or free-running timestamped detection. We derive the likelihood score function for each of these three passive modes. From this single object, stem both fundamental limits of recovery (Cramer-Rao bounds) and practical recovery algorithms based on diffusion posterior sampling. The paper further generalizes fundamental limits to Bayesian Cramer-Rao lower bounds. This generalization makes use of a learned approximation of the score function of signal priors. In prior art, analyses and diffusion-based reconstruction for SPAD data have treated individual modes in isolation. Our unified treatment shows a qualitative high-flux gap between modes: binary counts saturate exponentially, while timestamped modes degrade only linearly. We further extend diffusion posterior sampling, previously restricted to binary SPAD data, to a full timestamped case using the suitable score function. We demonstrate experimentally that matching the score to the operation mode is beneficial for high-fidelity reconstruction. By tying the recovery bounds and diffusion to the score function, this work aims to establish a common foundation for both asking what is recoverable in single-photon sensing, and building methods that approach the bound.