UC-Search: Risk-Aware Test-Time Search for Delayed Constrained Time-Series Control

arXiv:2606.25274v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Time-series deployments often need delayed feasible decisions, not only accurate forecasts. UC-Search is a trace-only retained-search layer for delayed constrained control: a frozen backbone emits forecasts or action scores, a hard-feasibility automaton rolls paths forward, and bounded search returns the first action of a feasible trajectory. The main claim is conditional: retained lookahead can improve delayed constrained decisions only when delayed feasible-set coupling, retained-prefix premises, and fail-closed release certificates hold. The promoted public endpoint is Phase128 certified M4 expanded40: validation selects Certificate-Constrained Retained Pareto Beam with $\lambda=0.25$, the held-out test has certificate/risk-active rates $1.0000/0.9642$, and the weakest family remains above the unchanged $0.95$ gate at $0.9516$ on M4Weekly. The author-defined public $9$-family suite remains an uncertified stress-test boundary. The paper reports a trace-only mechanism, one certified public endpoint, failed-route certificates, and deployment boundaries rather than a universal risk-control theorem.